講演詳細

S4. 熱帯林業における気候変動適応策～科学的知見の蓄積と社会実装に向けて～[Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change in Tropical Forestry ~Scientific Findings and Their Social Implementation]

日付	2026年3月17日
開始時刻	14:15
会場名	303
講演番号	S4-1
発表題目	Enhancing resilience to tropical timber species in terms of species distribution model Enhancing resilience to tropical timber species in terms of species distribution model
所属	森林総合研究所北海道支所
要旨本文	Strengthening climate change resilience in tropical forestry requires identifying suitable environmental conditions and predicting suitable planting areas for each forestry species under current and future climates.In this study, we focused on several important plantation forestry species in Indonesia―teak (Tectona grandis), falcata (Falcataria falcata), an Acacia species (Acacia crassicarpa), and three species of Rubroshorea. Using statistical models centered on species distribution models, we developed models to explain species distributions for most target species and growth performance for one focal species, based on environmental variables such as climate and geology. These models were applied to current climatic conditions and future climate scenarios to predict present and future suitable planting areas.By integrating these prediction results, this presentation discusses potential planting guidelines under future climate change.
著者氏名	○Ikutaro Tsuyama1 ・ Eko Prasetyo2 ・ Tsutomu Yagihashi3 ・ Makoto Ehara3 ・ Eny Faridah2 ・ Widiyatno2
著者所属	1Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute ・ 2Universitas Gadjah Mada ・ 3Forestry and Forest Products Research Institute
キーワード	climate change, adaptation measures, plantation suitability
Key word	climate change, adaptation measures, plantation suitability